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[Holiday contest/giveaway] Character competition and guessing game |
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Dec 30 2016, 05:08
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Superlatanium
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 7,617
Joined: 27-November 13

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QUOTE(gianfrix94 @ Dec 30 2016, 03:07)  So finally i'll have a chance to win something, after brushing up on my Statistics knowledge (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/tongue.gif) This is more social economics than statistics (Economists generally do significantly better at this type of game than the general population)
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Dec 30 2016, 05:14
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skillchip
Group: Catgirl Camarilla
Posts: 5,754
Joined: 31-December 06

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QUOTE(Superlatanium @ Dec 30 2016, 03:08)  This is more social economics than statistics
(Economists generally do significantly better at this type of game than the general population)
Can finally put one of my degrees to good use
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Dec 30 2016, 05:14
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piyin
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 10,862
Joined: 4-February 09

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QUOTE(Superlatanium @ Dec 30 2016, 05:08)  This is more social economics than statistics
(Economists generally do significantly better at this type of game than the general population)
Like in 2008? We are doomed! (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/anime_cry.gif)
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Dec 30 2016, 05:23
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Sapo84
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 3,332
Joined: 14-June 09

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QUOTE(Unindex @ Dec 30 2016, 03:39)  So, how low and how high are considered trolling?
My guess is that something like: (the MM I sent for round #2) QUOTE I guess 999 and 998. I know I can't win but I'm a bad person and I want to screw the predictions XD was not well received (and I probably wasn't the only one) (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/heh.gif) I honestly think it was more fun that way (if someone can't guess trolling on the internet doesn't deserve to win (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/heh.gif)) but whatever, his credits, his rules (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/biggrin.gif)
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Dec 30 2016, 05:32
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piyin
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 10,862
Joined: 4-February 09

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QUOTE(skillchip @ Dec 30 2016, 04:55)  was i summoned?
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Dec 30 2016, 05:35
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Juggernaut Santa
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 11,132
Joined: 26-April 12

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QUOTE(Sapo84 @ Dec 30 2016, 04:23)  My guess is that something like: (the MM I sent for round #2) was not well received (and I probably wasn't the only one) (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/heh.gif) I honestly think it was more fun that way (if someone can't guess trolling on the internet doesn't deserve to win (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/heh.gif)) but whatever, his credits, his rules (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/biggrin.gif) Oh, so that's your fault! Without your 999 and 998 the winning number would've been around 230, and I'd probably won something (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/cry.gif) This post has been edited by End Of All Hope: Dec 30 2016, 05:35
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Dec 30 2016, 06:36
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Usagi =
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 2,923
Joined: 29-October 13

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QUOTE(Superlatanium @ Dec 30 2016, 08:49)  But I know there are players trying their best to win, so this will not happen (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/wink.gif) And ultimately it is these players who cause themselves and most of us to go home empty handed when they could have at least got a little something had they cooperated.
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Dec 30 2016, 07:12
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youmin
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 183
Joined: 19-December 13

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My guess is 113
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Dec 30 2016, 11:58
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Cleavs
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 24,313
Joined: 18-January 07

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QUOTE(Superlatanium @ Dec 30 2016, 01:44)  New rule for Game 3: Too many people are intentionally skewing the average. If you are clearly not trying to guess to win (or if you don't understand the game and make a strange guess), I will not include your guess!
(This isn't intended to be a restriction - this is just intended to weed out the trolls.)
this is called "deliberately excluding what deliberately appears to be a mistake". scientists do this everyday, just for everyone's information. QUOTE(LOL50015 @ Dec 30 2016, 05:36)  And ultimately it is these players who cause themselves and most of us to go home empty handed when they could have at least got a little something had they cooperated.
lol. start a crusade. if it's against trolls you have my almost-full support (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif) This post has been edited by Scremaz: Dec 30 2016, 11:59
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Dec 30 2016, 12:12
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Epion
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 3,350
Joined: 20-February 08

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Well my first guess was quite close, despite coming out quite early, but since i can't wait for the near end of the timer to make a correct approximation, i did post a troll number the second time, though it was not with evil intentions. The point was to spice things up. At the beginning, I even consider sending 10-20 pms all with 1000 as number, but at the end i decided that that might have been considered BM and didn't do it. Didn't think it would have been trolling... My bad. (IMG:[ i42.photobucket.com] http://i42.photobucket.com/albums/e342/lagray1977/sorry-1.jpg)
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Dec 30 2016, 12:18
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cmos
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 1,214
Joined: 17-March 10

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QUOTE(End Of All Hope @ Dec 30 2016, 06:35)  Oh, so that's your fault! Without your 999 and 998 the winning number would've been around 230, and I'd probably won something (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/cry.gif) My guess would have been the best again. (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/tongue.gif) Damn, I should have accounted for a possibility of deliberate skewing through pms after seeing people posting such things in the thread.
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Dec 30 2016, 12:32
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Unindex
Group: Members
Posts: 328
Joined: 1-January 16

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QUOTE(Superlatanium @ Dec 30 2016, 04:50)  It all depends on what you think I mean by "If you are clearly not trying to guess to win". I won't include incredibly dumb guesses in the average or as possible winners.
Many players want to know what exactly this means so they can try to get around it and screw with things. So I can't say anything publicly until the end of the game, sorry.
Hint: If I am not going to include certain incredibly high or incredibly low guesses, what will happen to the average? The percentage drop between #2 and #3 is probably going to be significantly larger than the percentage drop between #1 and #2.
So this is also a game of "Guess my mind" 0 would be the most logical if you were logical about the rule. So 0 is my guess
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Dec 30 2016, 14:05
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Sapo84
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 3,332
Joined: 14-June 09

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QUOTE(Epion @ Dec 30 2016, 11:12)  Didn't think it would have been trolling...
I don't think trolling is actually bad anyway (I mean, you're actually giving the others more chances to win). The real problem would be if the "trolling" is done maliciously, for example to change the average so that a third party could easily win (and share the credits). That would be pretty bad (and lame). I don't think anyone went that far but I'm starting to see that Super's decision may not be that bad (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/heh.gif) It's better to be safe than sorry. (If trolling would still be allowed I would have probably guessed 0 and 1 to skew the results toward 0 and troll the people trying to adjust their guesses XD) This post has been edited by Sapo84: Dec 30 2016, 14:06
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Dec 30 2016, 14:07
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Juggernaut Santa
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 11,132
Joined: 26-April 12

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I think that after all "trolling"(aka losing on purpose to change the average heavily) is still ok but only if done with a private guess.
Guessing > 666 in public is just dumb, unless stated, but like this is unfunny because everyone sees what you did there.
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Dec 30 2016, 14:09
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anna varney
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 554
Joined: 14-November 16

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Game #3 Number: 226
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Dec 30 2016, 15:31
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Usagi =
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 2,923
Joined: 29-October 13

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My guess: 178 QUOTE(Scremaz @ Dec 30 2016, 17:58)  lol. start a crusade. if it's against trolls you have my almost-full support (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif) Err...nope. If anything its probably a hopeless endeavor and the payout isn't even that good.
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Dec 30 2016, 16:43
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ankwchi
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 1,000
Joined: 3-June 08

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Guess: 468
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