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> [Holiday contest/giveaway] Character competition and guessing game

 
post Dec 30 2016, 05:07
Post #161
lazyNPC



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QUOTE(End Of All Hope @ Dec 30 2016, 04:04) *

If you do that, there will be 4 or 5 people playing (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)

So finally i'll have a chance to win something, after brushing up on my Statistics knowledge (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/tongue.gif)
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post Dec 30 2016, 05:08
Post #162
Superlatanium



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QUOTE(gianfrix94 @ Dec 30 2016, 03:07) *
So finally i'll have a chance to win something, after brushing up on my Statistics knowledge (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/tongue.gif)
This is more social economics than statistics

(Economists generally do significantly better at this type of game than the general population)
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post Dec 30 2016, 05:14
Post #163
skillchip



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QUOTE(Superlatanium @ Dec 30 2016, 03:08) *

This is more social economics than statistics

(Economists generally do significantly better at this type of game than the general population)


Can finally put one of my degrees to good use
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post Dec 30 2016, 05:14
Post #164
piyin



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QUOTE(Superlatanium @ Dec 30 2016, 05:08) *

This is more social economics than statistics

(Economists generally do significantly better at this type of game than the general population)


Like in 2008?

We are doomed! (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/anime_cry.gif)
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post Dec 30 2016, 05:23
Post #165
Sapo84



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QUOTE(Unindex @ Dec 30 2016, 03:39) *

So, how low and how high are considered trolling?

My guess is that something like:
(the MM I sent for round #2)
QUOTE
I guess 999 and 998.
I know I can't win but I'm a bad person and I want to screw the predictions XD


was not well received (and I probably wasn't the only one) (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/heh.gif)
I honestly think it was more fun that way (if someone can't guess trolling on the internet doesn't deserve to win (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/heh.gif)) but whatever, his credits, his rules (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/biggrin.gif)
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post Dec 30 2016, 05:32
Post #166
piyin



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QUOTE(skillchip @ Dec 30 2016, 04:55) *

was i summoned?


(IMG:[i.makeagif.com] https://i.makeagif.com/media/4-15-2016/NgxRTD.gif)
THE PROPHECY IS TRUE!

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post Dec 30 2016, 05:34
Post #167
lazyNPC



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QUOTE(Sapo84 @ Dec 30 2016, 04:23) *

My guess is that something like:
(the MM I sent for round #2)
was not well received (and I probably wasn't the only one) (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/heh.gif)
I honestly think it was more fun that way (if someone can't guess trolling on the internet doesn't deserve to win (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/heh.gif)) but whatever, his credits, his rules (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/biggrin.gif)

Lolol, i would have laughed at that MM.
Still, you're one of the bad persons that made me lose (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/tongue.gif)
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post Dec 30 2016, 05:35
Post #168
Juggernaut Santa



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QUOTE(Sapo84 @ Dec 30 2016, 04:23) *

My guess is that something like:
(the MM I sent for round #2)
was not well received (and I probably wasn't the only one) (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/heh.gif)
I honestly think it was more fun that way (if someone can't guess trolling on the internet doesn't deserve to win (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/heh.gif)) but whatever, his credits, his rules (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/biggrin.gif)

Oh, so that's your fault!
Without your 999 and 998 the winning number would've been around 230, and I'd probably won something (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/cry.gif)

This post has been edited by End Of All Hope: Dec 30 2016, 05:35
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post Dec 30 2016, 06:31
Post #169
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(IMG:[i.imgur.com] http://i.imgur.com/MznwFu1.jpg)

My guess is 198
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post Dec 30 2016, 06:36
Post #170
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QUOTE(Superlatanium @ Dec 30 2016, 08:49) *

But I know there are players trying their best to win, so this will not happen (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/wink.gif)


And ultimately it is these players who cause themselves and most of us to go home empty handed when they could have at least got a little something had they cooperated.
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post Dec 30 2016, 07:12
Post #171
youmin



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My guess is 113
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post Dec 30 2016, 11:58
Post #172
Cleavs



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QUOTE(Superlatanium @ Dec 30 2016, 01:44) *

New rule for Game 3: Too many people are intentionally skewing the average. If you are clearly not trying to guess to win (or if you don't understand the game and make a strange guess), I will not include your guess!

(This isn't intended to be a restriction - this is just intended to weed out the trolls.)

this is called "deliberately excluding what deliberately appears to be a mistake". scientists do this everyday, just for everyone's information.

QUOTE(LOL50015 @ Dec 30 2016, 05:36) *

And ultimately it is these players who cause themselves and most of us to go home empty handed when they could have at least got a little something had they cooperated.

lol. start a crusade. if it's against trolls you have my almost-full support (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)

This post has been edited by Scremaz: Dec 30 2016, 11:59
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post Dec 30 2016, 12:12
Post #173
Epion



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Well my first guess was quite close, despite coming out quite early, but since i can't wait for the near end of the timer to make a correct approximation, i did post a troll number the second time, though it was not with evil intentions. The point was to spice things up.
At the beginning, I even consider sending 10-20 pms all with 1000 as number, but at the end i decided that that might have been considered BM and didn't do it.
Didn't think it would have been trolling...
My bad.

(IMG:[i42.photobucket.com] http://i42.photobucket.com/albums/e342/lagray1977/sorry-1.jpg)
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post Dec 30 2016, 12:18
Post #174
cmos



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QUOTE(End Of All Hope @ Dec 30 2016, 06:35) *

Oh, so that's your fault!
Without your 999 and 998 the winning number would've been around 230, and I'd probably won something (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/cry.gif)

My guess would have been the best again. (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/tongue.gif)
Damn, I should have accounted for a possibility of deliberate skewing through pms after seeing people posting such things in the thread.
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post Dec 30 2016, 12:32
Post #175
Unindex



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QUOTE(Superlatanium @ Dec 30 2016, 04:50) *

It all depends on what you think I mean by "If you are clearly not trying to guess to win". I won't include incredibly dumb guesses in the average or as possible winners.

Many players want to know what exactly this means so they can try to get around it and screw with things. So I can't say anything publicly until the end of the game, sorry.

Hint: If I am not going to include certain incredibly high or incredibly low guesses, what will happen to the average? The percentage drop between #2 and #3 is probably going to be significantly larger than the percentage drop between #1 and #2.

So this is also a game of "Guess my mind"
0 would be the most logical if you were logical about the rule. So 0 is my guess
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post Dec 30 2016, 14:05
Post #176
Sapo84



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QUOTE(Epion @ Dec 30 2016, 11:12) *

Didn't think it would have been trolling...

I don't think trolling is actually bad anyway (I mean, you're actually giving the others more chances to win).
The real problem would be if the "trolling" is done maliciously, for example to change the average so that a third party could easily win (and share the credits).
That would be pretty bad (and lame).

I don't think anyone went that far but I'm starting to see that Super's decision may not be that bad (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/heh.gif)
It's better to be safe than sorry.

(If trolling would still be allowed I would have probably guessed 0 and 1 to skew the results toward 0 and troll the people trying to adjust their guesses XD)

This post has been edited by Sapo84: Dec 30 2016, 14:06
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post Dec 30 2016, 14:07
Post #177
Juggernaut Santa



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I think that after all "trolling"(aka losing on purpose to change the average heavily) is still ok but only if done with a private guess.

Guessing > 666 in public is just dumb, unless stated, but like this is unfunny because everyone sees what you did there.
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post Dec 30 2016, 14:09
Post #178
anna varney



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Game #3 Number: 226
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post Dec 30 2016, 15:31
Post #179
Usagi =



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My guess: 178

QUOTE(Scremaz @ Dec 30 2016, 17:58) *

lol. start a crusade. if it's against trolls you have my almost-full support (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)


Err...nope.
If anything its probably a hopeless endeavor and the payout isn't even that good.
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post Dec 30 2016, 16:43
Post #180
ankwchi



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Guess: 468
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