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> [Holiday contest/giveaway] Character competition and guessing game

 
post Dec 28 2016, 08:27
Post #1
Superlatanium



Dreaming of optimizing the system
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Event is over, results here!



This is a competition between 4 characters.

(IMG:[reasoningtheory.net] http://reasoningtheory.net/chars.png)

Akatsuki (Log Horizon)
Kurisu Makise (Steins;Gate)
Saber (Fate)
Ange Ushiromiya (Umineko no Naku Koro ni)

Everyone who wants to play can choose one character to support. Each supporter will add 3 fighters to that character's army.
Once time runs out, I will run a program that repeatedly chooses 2 random fighters to fight against each other.
One will win and remain, the other will be removed. (50% chance to win or to lose)
(if the random fighters are from the same army, they won't fight)

The last character with an army left wins! Everyone that supported that character will share the 2m prize equally.

PM me your chosen character, do not post it here!

(IMG:[reasoningtheory.net] https://reasoningtheory.net/countdown.png?title=Character%20competition&month=1&day=03&year=2017&hour=6&minute=00)


If you want to win, I will give you some hints. Another user mentioned a useful key phrase earlier in this thread.
Also, most of what you need to know you can find nearby; this game is probably solvable.
(the characters previously posted by users have nothing to do with this at all)

Bonus: If you explain your choice well in your PM and your character wins, you will get an extra 150k from my own pocket! (in addition to the 2m pool)

This post has been edited by Superlatanium: Jan 3 2017, 09:04
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post Dec 28 2016, 08:27
Post #2
Superlatanium



Dreaming of optimizing the system
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Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 7,617
Joined: 27-November 13
Level 500 (Godslayer)


(IMG:[reasoningtheory.net] https://reasoningtheory.net/countdown.png?title=Guessing%20game%20^6&month=1&day=03&year=2017&hour=0&minute=00)


The game:

1. Everyone who wants to participate posts in this thread with a picture of their favorite character from anime, manga, TV, VN, or anything else.
(You don't actually have to, but it'd be nice)
2. Guess any real number between 0 and 1000 (inclusive) by PMing or MMing me
3. When time runs out, all guesses will be averaged together
4. Those who guessed closest to 2/3 of the average will be the winners!


Prize pool: At least 1m credits every game distributed among 4 winners
  • 40% to first place (closest guess)
  • 30% to second place
  • 20% to third place
  • 10% to fourth place
Bonus Guess: Anyone can send me 10k credits to be added to the total prize pool. Those who do may make an additional guess that game.
(Each user can only win once per game though.) All funds go to the winners, I make no profit!



Notes:
  • Participants must be at least level 100 or be an active member of the E-H community
  • Superlatanium may guess, but cannot be one of the winners
  • This will be a series of contests, each lasting 24 hours, from Dawn to Dawn. (Guesses at 00:00 will count towards the last day's game: new games start at 00:01)

(IMG:[reasoningtheory.net] https://reasoningtheory.net/luck.jpg)

If you want to make things interesting, do your best to try to win. This game requires a significant amount of skill, it's not a lottery!


------------------------


Game 1 Results, Post #96

Total pot: 1000k + 90k + 100k (from FabulousCupcake) = 1190k

2/3 of Average Guess: 268.334524

Winner 1: cmos, with a guess of 268.32
Winner 2: ArbiterErii, with a guess of 268.27027
Winner 3: jackalo, with a guess of 269
Winner 4: vivikinomoto123, with a guess of 258

---

Game 2 Results, Post #140

Total pot: 1120k

2/3 of Average Guess: 242.265199

Winner 1: skedw235, with a guess of 245
Winner 2: oddaicky, with a guess of 247
Winner 3: cmos, with a guess of 231.69
Winner 4: youmin, with a guess of 227

---

Game 3 Results, Post #199

Total pot: 1090k

2/3 of Average Guess: 139.256834

Winner 1: oddaicky, with a guess of 139
Winner 2: Basara Nekki, with a guess of 144
Winner 3: Nanoha_Prayer, with a guess of 145
Winner 4: cmos, with a guess of 132.68

---

Game 4 Results, Post #241

Total pot: 1220k

2/3 of Average Guess: 51.00008

Winner 1: ginjok, with a guess of 49.8
Winner 2: Kiriman1, with a guess of 55
Winner 3: Superlatanium, with a guess of 47 oops
Winner 3: Basara Nekki, with a guess of 44
Winner 4: Killer Bee1, with a guess of 43

---

Game 5 Results, Post #295

Total pot: 1090k

2/3 of Average Guess: 9.6551568

Winner 1: 234hentai, with a guess of 9.7
Winner 2: DCFulano, with a guess of 9.58938
Winner 3: cmos, with a guess of 9.46
Winner 4: oddaicky, with a guess of 9.4

---

Game 6 Results, Post #324

Total pot: 1070k

2/3 of Average Guess: 1.44642363

Winner 1: Fatesifaeve, with a guess of 1.4796
Winner 2: cmc1985, with a guess of 1.5
Winner 3: Lin Setsu A, with a guess of 1.3785
Winner 4: issary, with a guess of 1.6

---

New rule for Game 3+: Too many people are intentionally skewing the average. If you are clearly not trying to guess to win (or if you don't understand the game and make a strange guess), I will not include your guess!

(This isn't intended to be a restriction - this is just intended to weed out the trolls.)

(Here's a very big hint on how to figure out which number to guess)

I still recommend that you guys send guesses privately. Lots of public guesses make things too easy for those who know what they're doing
(and make you less likely to win!) Less public guessing also makes the game more about predicting others
(which is the whole point), rather than counting in a spreadsheet (kinda boring). You don't need to post pictures again

This post has been edited by Superlatanium: Jan 3 2017, 03:40
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post Dec 28 2016, 08:27
Post #3
Superlatanium



Dreaming of optimizing the system
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(IMG:[reasoningtheory.net] https://reasoningtheory.net/roland.jpg)

My character is Roland Deschain and I guess 600!
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post Dec 28 2016, 08:49
Post #4
PanHun



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(IMG:[i.imgur.com] http://i.imgur.com/h6t8iYp.jpg)

My character is Ranma Saotome and I guess 512! (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/tongue.gif)
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post Dec 28 2016, 08:50
Post #5
nobody_xxx



((´☻ω☻`) $◞౪◟$ (´☻ω☻`))
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Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 13,753
Joined: 7-December 10
Level 496 (Godslayer)


(IMG:[s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com] https://s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/originals/c0/1c/47/c01c47d4aab8b22cd6fb5342f0ffb78c.jpg)


my character is Yuna from FFX and I guess 895 (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/happy.gif)



(IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/heh.gif)

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post Dec 28 2016, 08:58
Post #6
DCFulano



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(IMG:[i.imgur.com] http://i.imgur.com/1eXPPiz.jpg)
My character is Miyauchi Renge and I guess 135.82941131
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post Dec 28 2016, 09:03
Post #7
piyin



Reasons to love the IRS.
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(IMG:[s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com] https://s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/originals/4b/89/d4/4b89d413ae4cb856d1265ee6dae45de0.jpg)
Alucard!

And the number is (of course):

574!
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post Dec 28 2016, 09:15
Post #8
yami_zetsu



not happy yet but almost maybe
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Attached Image
My character would be Atem and my guess number is 777
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post Dec 28 2016, 09:17
Post #9
jackalo



a guy
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Joined: 23-July 13
Level 500 (Godslayer)


Guess: 420

Takamura Mamoru
(IMG:[pm1.narvii.com] http://pm1.narvii.com/5982/ea9ff9d05300058eb9fa570dba73920df243bf03_hq.jpg)


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post Dec 28 2016, 09:17
Post #10
FF_Crystal



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(IMG:[i.imgur.com] http://i.imgur.com/ViLZRmO.jpg)
コソ from Tokyo Ravens
guess 666
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post Dec 28 2016, 09:20
Post #11
foobarwtf



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(IMG:[media.giphy.com] https://media.giphy.com/media/11KzOet1ElBDz2/giphy.gif)
Character: Spike
Guess: 678
(IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/rolleyes.gif)
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post Dec 28 2016, 09:23
Post #12
-Shun-



Veteran Newbie
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(IMG:[myanimelist.cdn-dena.com] https://myanimelist.cdn-dena.com/images/characters/2/312943.jpg)
Mob \o/
My guess is lucky no. 4
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post Dec 28 2016, 09:28
Post #13
zero1018101



天理循環 因果輪回 善惡有報
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Posts: 2,746
Joined: 6-June 14
Level 500 (Ponyslayer)


Guess:666

Character:Shukugawa Meguri
(IMG:[i4.imgbus.com] http://i4.imgbus.com/doimg/bc3o1m8m7oena30.jpg)

This post has been edited by zero1018101: Dec 28 2016, 14:43
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post Dec 28 2016, 09:34
Post #14
ok1995



Newcomer
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Group: Members
Posts: 743
Joined: 1-October 11
Level 463 (Dovahkiin)


Guess: 314
favorite character: Ichinose Himeki
(IMG:[202.83.104.57] http://202.83.104.57:33333/h/5672b8ba01148909e34cf20ad6bac9c737dd6d62-82277-1024-768-jpg/keystamp=1482910800-dcd7f2f351/003d.jpg)
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post Dec 28 2016, 09:37
Post #15
arialinnoc



Rest time!! _(:з」∠)_
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(IMG:[static.zerochan.net] http://static.zerochan.net/Himura.Kenshin.full.1932571.jpg)

My favorite character is Himura Kenshin
My guess no. is 666

Nice charity!
I wish you Happy Holidays (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/biggrin.gif)
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post Dec 28 2016, 09:46
Post #16
tychocelchu



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(IMG:[theinfosphere.org] https://theinfosphere.org/images/thumb/d/d8/Zapp_promo.png/180px-Zapp_promo.png)

zapp brannigan (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/cool.gif)

my guess is 132

thank you (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/smile.gif)
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post Dec 28 2016, 09:46
Post #17
Innocent_Preach



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My character is Sagisawa Fumika

My guess is 98 (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)

(IMG:[i.imgur.com] http://i.imgur.com/Q4AVegK.jpg)
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post Dec 28 2016, 09:51
Post #18
anna varney



Regular Poster
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Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 554
Joined: 14-November 16
Level 479 (Godslayer)


Character: Zatch Bell
Guess: 510

Attached Image

This post has been edited by anna varney: Dec 28 2016, 09:53
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post Dec 28 2016, 09:54
Post #19
tsunadebusty



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(IMG:[statici.behindthevoiceactors.com] http://statici.behindthevoiceactors.com/behindthevoiceactors/_img/chars/tsunade-naruto-shippuden-ultimate-ninja-storm-generations-2.82.jpg)

My character is tsunade and I guess 399!
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post Dec 28 2016, 09:54
Post #20
XXEINXX



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Attached Image

My character is fuuka reventon
My guess is 777
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