(IMG:[reasoningtheory.net] https://reasoningtheory.net/countdown.png?title=Guessing%20game%20^6&month=1&day=03&year=2017&hour=0&minute=00)
The game:1. Everyone who wants to participate posts in this thread with a picture of their favorite character from anime, manga, TV, VN, or anything else.(You don't actually have to, but it'd be nice)
2. Guess
any real number between 0 and 1000 (inclusive) by
PMing or MMing me
3. When time runs out, all guesses will be averaged together
4. Those who guessed closest to
2/3 of the average will be the winners!
Prize pool: At least 1m credits every game distributed among 4 winners
- 40% to first place (closest guess)
- 30% to second place
- 20% to third place
- 10% to fourth place
Bonus Guess: Anyone can send me 10k credits to be added to the total prize pool. Those who do may make an additional guess that game.
(Each user can only win once per game though.) All funds go to the winners, I make no profit!
Notes:
- Participants must be at least level 100 or be an active member of the E-H community
- Superlatanium may guess, but cannot be one of the winners
- This will be a series of contests, each lasting 24 hours, from Dawn to Dawn. (Guesses at 00:00 will count towards the last day's game: new games start at 00:01)
(IMG:[
reasoningtheory.net]
https://reasoningtheory.net/luck.jpg)
If you want to make things interesting, do your best to try to win.
This game requires a significant amount of skill, it's not a lottery!
------------------------
Game 1 Results, Post #96
Total pot: 1000k + 90k + 100k (from FabulousCupcake) = 1190k
2/3 of Average Guess: 268.334524Winner 1: cmos, with a guess of 268.32
Winner 2: ArbiterErii, with a guess of 268.27027
Winner 3: jackalo, with a guess of 269
Winner 4: vivikinomoto123, with a guess of 258
---
Game 2 Results, Post #140
Total pot: 1120k
2/3 of Average Guess: 242.265199Winner 1: skedw235, with a guess of 245
Winner 2: oddaicky, with a guess of 247
Winner 3: cmos, with a guess of 231.69
Winner 4: youmin, with a guess of 227
---
Game 3 Results, Post #199
Total pot: 1090k
2/3 of Average Guess: 139.256834Winner 1: oddaicky, with a guess of 139
Winner 2: Basara Nekki, with a guess of 144
Winner 3: Nanoha_Prayer, with a guess of 145
Winner 4: cmos, with a guess of 132.68
---
Game 4 Results, Post #241
Total pot: 1220k
2/3 of Average Guess: 51.00008Winner 1: ginjok, with a guess of 49.8
Winner 2: Kiriman1, with a guess of 55
Winner 3: Superlatanium, with a guess of 47 oops
Winner 3: Basara Nekki, with a guess of 44
Winner 4: Killer Bee1, with a guess of 43
---
Game 5 Results, Post #295
Total pot: 1090k
2/3 of Average Guess: 9.6551568Winner 1: 234hentai, with a guess of 9.7
Winner 2: DCFulano, with a guess of 9.58938
Winner 3: cmos, with a guess of 9.46
Winner 4: oddaicky, with a guess of 9.4
---
Game 6 Results, Post #324
Total pot: 1070k
2/3 of Average Guess: 1.44642363Winner 1: Fatesifaeve, with a guess of 1.4796
Winner 2: cmc1985, with a guess of 1.5
Winner 3: Lin Setsu A, with a guess of 1.3785
Winner 4: issary, with a guess of 1.6
---
New rule for Game 3+: Too many people are intentionally skewing the average. If you are clearly not trying to guess to win (or if you don't understand the game and make a strange guess), I will not include your guess!
(This isn't intended to be a restriction - this is just intended to weed out the trolls.)
(Here's a very big hint on how to figure out which number to guess)
I still recommend that you guys send guesses privately. Lots of public guesses make things too easy for those who know what they're doing
(and make you less likely to win!) Less public guessing also makes the game more about predicting others
(which is the whole point), rather than counting in a spreadsheet (kinda boring). You don't need to post pictures again
This post has been edited by Superlatanium: Jan 3 2017, 03:40