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> [Holiday contest/giveaway] Character competition and guessing game

 
post Dec 30 2016, 02:46
Post #141
FabulousCupcake



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Game #3 Number: 200

What if everyone guesses the same number?

This post has been edited by FabulousCupcake: Dec 30 2016, 03:05
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post Dec 30 2016, 02:49
Post #142
Superlatanium



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QUOTE(FabulousCupcake @ Dec 30 2016, 00:46) *
Game #3 Number: 222

What if everyone guesses the same number?
Then everyone is the same distance away from the winning number and shares in the winnings equally

But I know there are players trying their best to win, so this will not happen (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/wink.gif)
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post Dec 30 2016, 02:50
Post #143
Juggernaut Santa



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Guh. People with private guesses went higher than I thought/did only one guess and not 2 (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/sad.gif)

QUOTE(FabulousCupcake @ Dec 30 2016, 01:46) *

Game #3 Number: 222

What if everyone guesses the same number?

If the "same number" is not 0, then everybody will lose if only one says something a little higher than 100.
But even if everyone say 0, everyone wins, and the prize will be split in too many parts to matter something (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)

The "real" logic of the game would be: nobody will say 666+ because that amount can't win ever.
But if everyone say 666 or less then 444 wins.
If everyone know that then they will guess 2/3 of 444 to win.
And then 2/3 again.
Until you get to 0.
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post Dec 30 2016, 02:56
Post #144
Superlatanium



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QUOTE(End Of All Hope @ Dec 30 2016, 00:50) *
The "real" logic of the game would be: nobody will say 666+ because that amount can't win ever.
But if everyone say 666 or less then 444 wins.
If everyone know that then they will guess 2/3 of 444 to win.
And then 2/3 again.
Until you get to 0.
Yep, that's the idea. How many levels ahead of the other participants can you think? Try to think exactly one level above them, but only one, else your guess will be too low!
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post Dec 30 2016, 02:59
Post #145
Kiriman1



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My guesses are always too low. I'm overthinking too much.
I didn't expect there would be lower number of participants each game.
My guess for this round will be "200"

This post has been edited by Kiriman1: Dec 30 2016, 03:00
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post Dec 30 2016, 03:05
Post #146
Juggernaut Santa



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The best thing to do would be playing EVERYONE private guesses, then in the last minutes someone makes some public guess, and then some extra private guesses.
Like that would be very funny (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)

Playing a public guess at game start is a guaranteed auto-lose unfortunately (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/heh.gif)
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post Dec 30 2016, 03:06
Post #147
Superlatanium



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QUOTE(Kiriman1 @ Dec 30 2016, 00:59) *
My guesses are always too low. I'm overthinking too much.
I didn't expect there would be lower number of participants each game.
My guess for this round will be "200"
Not everyone has what it takes for something like this. Only 35 guesses came within 100 of the winning number for Game 2.

The new rule is intended to rule out those those who are not at least giving the game a bit of thought (which will incidentally help those who are overestimating the thoughtfulness of other users).
QUOTE(End Of All Hope @ Dec 30 2016, 01:05) *
Playing a public guess at game start is a guaranteed auto-lose unfortunately (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/heh.gif)
Most likely yes.
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post Dec 30 2016, 03:22
Post #148
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QUOTE(End Of All Hope @ Dec 30 2016, 09:05) *

The best thing to do would be playing EVERYONE private guesses, then in the last minutes someone makes some public guess, and then some extra private guesses.
Like that would be very funny (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)

Playing a public guess at game start is a guaranteed auto-lose unfortunately (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/heh.gif)


The guy who won in the 2nd round have the 4th public guess.
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post Dec 30 2016, 03:34
Post #149
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Game #3 Number: 235

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post Dec 30 2016, 04:24
Post #150
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Game #3 Number: 147.9600
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post Dec 30 2016, 04:26
Post #151
wyh322



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Game #3 Number: 322
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post Dec 30 2016, 04:27
Post #152
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QUOTE(Superlatanium @ Dec 30 2016, 02:44) *

Game 2 Results

---

New rule for Game 3: Too many people are intentionally skewing the average. If you are clearly not trying to guess to win (or if you don't understand the game and make a strange guess), I will not include your guess!

(This isn't intended to be a restriction - this is just intended to weed out the trolls.)


See it coming from a century ago.... just wonder why the trashcat didnt say anything....


Guess: 250
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post Dec 30 2016, 04:28
Post #153
Superlatanium



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QUOTE(piyin @ Dec 30 2016, 02:27) *
See it coming from a century ago.... just wonder why the trashcat didnt say anything....
I knew it was gonna happen, I just figured I'd let people have their fun in the beginning.
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post Dec 30 2016, 04:34
Post #154
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I PMed you my guesses. In case anyone was wondering, they are both very low numbers. (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)
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post Dec 30 2016, 04:39
Post #155
Unindex



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So, how low and how high are considered trolling?
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post Dec 30 2016, 04:49
Post #156
lovehcomics



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234
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post Dec 30 2016, 04:50
Post #157
Superlatanium



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QUOTE(Unindex @ Dec 30 2016, 02:39) *
So, how low and how high are considered trolling?
It all depends on what you think I mean by "If you are clearly not trying to guess to win". I won't include incredibly dumb guesses in the average or as possible winners.

Many players want to know what exactly this means so they can try to get around it and screw with things. So I can't say anything publicly until the end of the game, sorry.

Hint: If I am not going to include certain incredibly high or incredibly low guesses, what will happen to the average? The percentage drop between #2 and #3 is probably going to be significantly larger than the percentage drop between #1 and #2.
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post Dec 30 2016, 04:55
Post #158
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QUOTE(piyin @ Dec 30 2016, 02:27) *

See it coming from a century ago.... just wonder why the trashcat didnt say anything....


was i summoned?

can't play, i'd cheat

QUOTE(Superlatanium @ Dec 30 2016, 02:50) *

It all depends on what you think I mean by "If you are clearly not trying to guess to win". I won't include incredibly dumb guesses in the average or as possible winners.

Many players want to know what exactly this means so they can try to get around it and screw with things. So I can't say anything publicly until the end of the game, sorry.

Hint: If I am not going to include certain incredibly high or incredibly low guesses, what will happen to the average? The percentage drop between #2 and #3 is probably going to be significantly larger than the percentage drop between #1 and #2.


Maybe make it more mathy and say it has to be within so many standard deviations.

This post has been edited by skillchip: Dec 30 2016, 05:01
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post Dec 30 2016, 05:01
Post #159
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MM sent (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/tongue.gif)
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post Dec 30 2016, 05:04
Post #160
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QUOTE(skillchip @ Dec 30 2016, 03:55) *

Maybe make it more mathy and say it has to be within so many standard deviations.

If you do that, there will be 4 or 5 people playing (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)
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