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The Official Hentaiverse Chat, Post your random thoughts or theorycrafts about HV |
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Mar 1 2017, 16:29
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RoadShoe
Group: Catgirl Camarilla
Posts: 3,241
Joined: 9-August 15

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QUOTE(End Of All Hope @ Mar 1 2017, 06:04)  Well, you can speculate everything you want, but if the screen states that nothing will bring you past 10% of the effective ticket count, it means that every drawing will have ALWAYS 90% chance to not win or more, no matter what.
Optimist: Glass is Half full Pessimist: Glass is Half Empty Engineer: Marketing screwed up again, and gave us the wrong capacity. Edit: Obviously, if you invest 10,000 tickets in an auction total of 10,001, you're gonna win. It'll be the soul fragments, but you "will" win. If you throw a golden lottery ticket in for the giggles... cause you have 6,000 of them... then you still win. Right? This post has been edited by RoadShoe: Mar 1 2017, 16:32
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Mar 1 2017, 16:34
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Juggernaut Santa
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 11,134
Joined: 26-April 12

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QUOTE(RoadShoe @ Mar 1 2017, 15:29)  Optimist: Glass is Half full
Pessimist: Glass is Half Empty
Engineer: Marketing screwed up again, and gave us the wrong capacity.
Realist: The glass is half full of water and half full of air.
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Mar 1 2017, 16:34
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Cleavs
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 24,317
Joined: 18-January 07

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i remember all of you that lottery is meant as a GP sink for bored rich individuals. and btw, tenboro already pointed out a while ago that the amount of Peerless coming from lottery was a mere fraction of those generated everyday. ratio should be even more unbalanced now, i guess. the only difference about *that* peerless and those other ones is that we know who has it. nothing more, nothing less (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/rolleyes.gif)
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Mar 1 2017, 16:36
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Tenboro

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GLT will not increase the effective win chance if it is already over 10%, but you can still have a greater than 10% chance of winning by having more than 10% of the tickets. (Obviously, you can only do that if there are less than 200k tickets entered.)
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Mar 1 2017, 16:36
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RoadShoe
Group: Catgirl Camarilla
Posts: 3,241
Joined: 9-August 15

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QUOTE(End Of All Hope @ Mar 1 2017, 06:34)  Realist: The glass is half full of water and half full of air.
Ha! That's a new one! (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)
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Mar 1 2017, 16:38
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Juggernaut Santa
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 11,134
Joined: 26-April 12

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QUOTE(Tenboro @ Mar 1 2017, 15:36)  GLT will not increase the effective win chance past 10%, but you can still increase your effective win chance past 10% by having more than 10% of the tickets. (Obviously, you can only do that if there are less than 200k tickets entered.)
Oh, interesting. So the GLT is even more useless than it seems (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/sad.gif) QUOTE(RoadShoe @ Mar 1 2017, 15:36)  Ha! That's a new one! (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif) That's my line of thought (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)
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Mar 1 2017, 16:44
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RoadShoe
Group: Catgirl Camarilla
Posts: 3,241
Joined: 9-August 15

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QUOTE(Tenboro @ Mar 1 2017, 06:36)  GLT will not increase the effective win chance if it is already over 10%, but you can still have a greater than 10% chance of winning by having more than 10% of the tickets. (Obviously, you can only do that if there are less than 200k tickets entered.)
There it is.. Straight from the source. (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/smile.gif) Sayyyy..... Is that a staff in your hoof, or you just happy to see us?
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Mar 1 2017, 16:45
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Tenboro

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QUOTE(End Of All Hope @ Mar 1 2017, 15:38)  Oh, interesting. So the GLT is even more useless than it seems (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/sad.gif) Unless you want a 10% chance to win a 400k ticket item with 20k tickets, sure.
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Mar 1 2017, 16:47
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RoadShoe
Group: Catgirl Camarilla
Posts: 3,241
Joined: 9-August 15

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QUOTE(Scremaz @ Mar 1 2017, 06:34)  i remember all of you that lottery is meant as a GP sink for bored rich individuals. and btw, tenboro already pointed out a while ago that the amount of Peerless coming from lottery was a mere fraction of those generated everyday. ratio should be even more unbalanced now, i guess. the only difference about *that* peerless and those other ones is that we know who has it. nothing more, nothing less (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/rolleyes.gif) And... it's a PHOH.. (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/ohmy.gif) (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/ohmy.gif)
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Mar 1 2017, 16:48
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cmos
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 1,214
Joined: 17-March 10

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QUOTE(Tenboro @ Mar 1 2017, 17:45)  Unless you want a 10% chance to win a 400k ticket item with 20k tickets, sure.
Is it working as intended that there were multiple PHOHs, PSWDs, PTWDs, but not a single PDWD for years?
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Mar 1 2017, 16:50
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Cleavs
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 24,317
Joined: 18-January 07

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QUOTE(RoadShoe @ Mar 1 2017, 15:47)  which should be something like the 4th existing one or so, at least afaik. they could even be more, for what all of us know. and for what all of us *should* know, btw.
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Mar 1 2017, 16:56
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Cleavs
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 24,317
Joined: 18-January 07

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QUOTE(RoadShoe @ Mar 1 2017, 15:53)  ..... (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/ohmy.gif) 4?? That's it??? (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/ohmy.gif) (gimme that staff betch...) (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif) if they say another one already popped out in lottery, then yep. another one is in jenga's sig - guess he doesn't mind if other people say it. and another one somewhere else. as i said, the only big deal with peerlesses from lottery is that you can track them. but as for the rest, is a lottery like RL ones: you gamble, you have a tiny chance to win, you have a big chance not to win. knowing this, your call what to gamble and when.
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Mar 1 2017, 17:07
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RoadShoe
Group: Catgirl Camarilla
Posts: 3,241
Joined: 9-August 15

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QUOTE(Scremaz @ Mar 1 2017, 06:56)  if they say another one already popped out in lottery, then yep. another one is in jenga's sig - guess he doesn't mind if other people say it. and another one somewhere else. as i said, the only big deal with peerlesses from lottery is that you can track them. but as for the rest, is a lottery like RL ones: you gamble, you have a tiny chance to win, you have a big chance not to win. knowing this, your call what to gamble and when.
Tiny.. yeah.. but a chance. I'll need to come up with something original for my next Auction RageQuit though. I'll give it some thought today... I'll stay below size 4 on the text.. Promise!! (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/smile.gif) Speaking of work, gotta go. Have fun guys. (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/smile.gif) Edit: (gimme that staff betch..) This post has been edited by RoadShoe: Mar 1 2017, 17:08
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Mar 1 2017, 17:31
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milannews
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 1,180
Joined: 8-May 12

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QUOTE(cmos @ Mar 1 2017, 23:48)  Is it working as intended that there were multiple PHOHs, PSWDs, PTWDs, but not a single PDWD for years?
PDWD will not appear as long as "In Memory Of Dark Mages Pdwd" exists (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)
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Mar 1 2017, 17:55
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Tenboro

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QUOTE(cmos @ Mar 1 2017, 15:48)  Is it working as intended that there were multiple PHOHs, PSWDs, PTWDs, but not a single PDWD for years?
It uses the same equipment generation algorithm as everything else, so that's all down to chance.
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Mar 1 2017, 17:58
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Cleavs
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 24,317
Joined: 18-January 07

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QUOTE(cmos @ Mar 1 2017, 16:40)  Is it the same as nerfed humanoids because of a certain trainer? (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/unsure.gif) speaking of which, is it a fact or only a rumor?
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Mar 1 2017, 18:16
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cmos
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 1,214
Joined: 17-March 10

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QUOTE(Tenboro @ Mar 1 2017, 18:55)  It uses the same equipment generation algorithm as everything else, so that's all down to chance.
Thanks. It just feels like demonic willow destructions are much rarer than hallowed oak heimdalls even in auctions. There's a new LHOH almost every week, while you don't see as many LDWDs around. Maybe it's just subjective.
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Mar 1 2017, 18:26
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Juggernaut Santa
Group: Gold Star Club
Posts: 11,134
Joined: 26-April 12

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Maybe the people that drops LDWD don't use the forums/are noobies that don't ask about the stuff they drop/keep it for themselves without telling (IMG:[ invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)
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