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> The Official Hentaiverse Chat, Post your random thoughts or theorycrafts about HV

 
post Mar 1 2017, 16:29
Post #38201
RoadShoe



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QUOTE(End Of All Hope @ Mar 1 2017, 06:04) *

Well, you can speculate everything you want, but if the screen states that nothing will bring you past 10% of the effective ticket count, it means that every drawing will have ALWAYS 90% chance to not win or more, no matter what.


Optimist: Glass is Half full

Pessimist: Glass is Half Empty

Engineer: Marketing screwed up again, and gave us the wrong capacity.

Edit: Obviously, if you invest 10,000 tickets in an auction total of 10,001, you're gonna win.
It'll be the soul fragments, but you "will" win.
If you throw a golden lottery ticket in for the giggles... cause you have 6,000 of them... then you still win.

Right?

This post has been edited by RoadShoe: Mar 1 2017, 16:32
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post Mar 1 2017, 16:34
Post #38202
Juggernaut Santa



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QUOTE(RoadShoe @ Mar 1 2017, 15:29) *

Optimist: Glass is Half full

Pessimist: Glass is Half Empty

Engineer: Marketing screwed up again, and gave us the wrong capacity.


Realist: The glass is half full of water and half full of air.
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post Mar 1 2017, 16:34
Post #38203
Cleavs



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i remember all of you that lottery is meant as a GP sink for bored rich individuals. and btw, tenboro already pointed out a while ago that the amount of Peerless coming from lottery was a mere fraction of those generated everyday. ratio should be even more unbalanced now, i guess.

the only difference about *that* peerless and those other ones is that we know who has it. nothing more, nothing less (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/rolleyes.gif)
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post Mar 1 2017, 16:36
Post #38204
Tenboro

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GLT will not increase the effective win chance if it is already over 10%, but you can still have a greater than 10% chance of winning by having more than 10% of the tickets. (Obviously, you can only do that if there are less than 200k tickets entered.)
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post Mar 1 2017, 16:36
Post #38205
RoadShoe



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QUOTE(End Of All Hope @ Mar 1 2017, 06:34) *

Realist: The glass is half full of water and half full of air.


Ha! That's a new one! (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)
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post Mar 1 2017, 16:38
Post #38206
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QUOTE(Tenboro @ Mar 1 2017, 15:36) *

GLT will not increase the effective win chance past 10%, but you can still increase your effective win chance past 10% by having more than 10% of the tickets. (Obviously, you can only do that if there are less than 200k tickets entered.)

Oh, interesting. So the GLT is even more useless than it seems (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/sad.gif)


QUOTE(RoadShoe @ Mar 1 2017, 15:36) *

Ha! That's a new one! (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)

That's my line of thought (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)
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post Mar 1 2017, 16:44
Post #38207
RoadShoe



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QUOTE(Tenboro @ Mar 1 2017, 06:36) *

GLT will not increase the effective win chance if it is already over 10%, but you can still have a greater than 10% chance of winning by having more than 10% of the tickets. (Obviously, you can only do that if there are less than 200k tickets entered.)


There it is.. Straight from the source. (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/smile.gif)

Sayyyy.....

Is that a staff in your hoof, or you just happy to see us?

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post Mar 1 2017, 16:45
Post #38208
Tenboro

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QUOTE(End Of All Hope @ Mar 1 2017, 15:38) *

Oh, interesting. So the GLT is even more useless than it seems (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/sad.gif)


Unless you want a 10% chance to win a 400k ticket item with 20k tickets, sure.
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post Mar 1 2017, 16:47
Post #38209
RoadShoe



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QUOTE(Scremaz @ Mar 1 2017, 06:34) *

i remember all of you that lottery is meant as a GP sink for bored rich individuals. and btw, tenboro already pointed out a while ago that the amount of Peerless coming from lottery was a mere fraction of those generated everyday. ratio should be even more unbalanced now, i guess.

the only difference about *that* peerless and those other ones is that we know who has it. nothing more, nothing less (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/rolleyes.gif)


And... it's a PHOH.. (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/ohmy.gif) (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/ohmy.gif)
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post Mar 1 2017, 16:48
Post #38210
cmos



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QUOTE(Tenboro @ Mar 1 2017, 17:45) *

Unless you want a 10% chance to win a 400k ticket item with 20k tickets, sure.

Is it working as intended that there were multiple PHOHs, PSWDs, PTWDs, but not a single PDWD for years?
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post Mar 1 2017, 16:50
Post #38211
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QUOTE(RoadShoe @ Mar 1 2017, 15:47) *

And... it's a PHOH.. (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/ohmy.gif) (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/ohmy.gif)

which should be something like the 4th existing one or so, at least afaik. they could even be more, for what all of us know. and for what all of us *should* know, btw.
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post Mar 1 2017, 16:53
Post #38212
RoadShoe



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QUOTE(Scremaz @ Mar 1 2017, 06:50) *

which should be something like the 4th existing one or so, at least afaik. they could even be more, for what all of us know. and for what all of us *should* know, btw.



..... (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/ohmy.gif) 4?? That's it??? (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/ohmy.gif)

(gimme that staff betch...) (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)
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post Mar 1 2017, 16:56
Post #38213
Cleavs



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QUOTE(RoadShoe @ Mar 1 2017, 15:53) *

..... (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/ohmy.gif) 4?? That's it??? (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/ohmy.gif)

(gimme that staff betch...) (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)

if they say another one already popped out in lottery, then yep. another one is in jenga's sig - guess he doesn't mind if other people say it. and another one somewhere else. as i said, the only big deal with peerlesses from lottery is that you can track them. but as for the rest, is a lottery like RL ones: you gamble, you have a tiny chance to win, you have a big chance not to win. knowing this, your call what to gamble and when.
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post Mar 1 2017, 17:07
Post #38214
RoadShoe



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QUOTE(Scremaz @ Mar 1 2017, 06:56) *

if they say another one already popped out in lottery, then yep. another one is in jenga's sig - guess he doesn't mind if other people say it. and another one somewhere else. as i said, the only big deal with peerlesses from lottery is that you can track them. but as for the rest, is a lottery like RL ones: you gamble, you have a tiny chance to win, you have a big chance not to win. knowing this, your call what to gamble and when.


Tiny.. yeah.. but a chance.

I'll need to come up with something original for my next Auction RageQuit though.

I'll give it some thought today... I'll stay below size 4 on the text.. Promise!! (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/smile.gif)

Speaking of work, gotta go. Have fun guys. (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/smile.gif)


Edit: (gimme that staff betch..)

This post has been edited by RoadShoe: Mar 1 2017, 17:08
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post Mar 1 2017, 17:31
Post #38215
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QUOTE(cmos @ Mar 1 2017, 23:48) *

Is it working as intended that there were multiple PHOHs, PSWDs, PTWDs, but not a single PDWD for years?

PDWD will not appear as long as "In Memory Of Dark Mages Pdwd" exists (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)
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post Mar 1 2017, 17:40
Post #38216
cmos



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QUOTE(milannews @ Mar 1 2017, 18:31) *

PDWD will not appear as long as "In Memory Of Dark Mages Pdwd" exists (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)

Is it the same as nerfed humanoids because of a certain trainer? (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/unsure.gif)
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post Mar 1 2017, 17:55
Post #38217
Tenboro

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QUOTE(cmos @ Mar 1 2017, 15:48) *

Is it working as intended that there were multiple PHOHs, PSWDs, PTWDs, but not a single PDWD for years?


It uses the same equipment generation algorithm as everything else, so that's all down to chance.
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post Mar 1 2017, 17:58
Post #38218
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QUOTE(cmos @ Mar 1 2017, 16:40) *

Is it the same as nerfed humanoids because of a certain trainer? (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/unsure.gif)

speaking of which, is it a fact or only a rumor?
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post Mar 1 2017, 18:16
Post #38219
cmos



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QUOTE(Tenboro @ Mar 1 2017, 18:55) *

It uses the same equipment generation algorithm as everything else, so that's all down to chance.

Thanks. It just feels like demonic willow destructions are much rarer than hallowed oak heimdalls even in auctions. There's a new LHOH almost every week, while you don't see as many LDWDs around. Maybe it's just subjective.
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post Mar 1 2017, 18:26
Post #38220
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Maybe the people that drops LDWD don't use the forums/are noobies that don't ask about the stuff they drop/keep it for themselves without telling (IMG:[invalid] style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif)
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