QUOTE(Visadio @ Nov 2 2020, 10:30)

Do you have a log of the previous runs, so that we can know what price to expect?
IW varies a lot, so that's not really super helpful, but I can assure that my strategy is tested in a simulator to produce the cheapest average results.
The following are simulation results for melee weapons (or focus staffs), and then staffs:
CODE
>>> w = Simulator(377, 4, 9, 5, 4)
>>> w.simulate(10000)
10000 IWs complete.
64 average IWBTH runs
132 average PFUDOR runs
63 average resets
116 average shards
>>> w = Simulator(377, 5, 9, 5, 4)
>>> w.simulate(10000)
10000 IWs complete.
108 average IWBTH runs
149 average PFUDOR runs
107 average resets
170 average shards
I didn't record maximums or distributions in this version of my simulator (I did so in the past, but I wasn't confident it was comprehensive, so I rewrote it), but I can say recently I did a 5,4 on a melee weapon which took 659 total runs and 585 amnesia shards - the worst I've ever done, for any type of IW. That would have cost 18m.
The vast majority of P5S4 staffs I've ever done took between 100-200 shards, but one should always be prepared for the worst. (IMG:[
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