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> What was the last thing you thought?, read deed by path.

 
post Apr 14 2025, 10:04
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QUOTE(EsotericSatire @ Apr 14 2025, 09:35) *


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post Apr 15 2025, 03:44
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come on giant asteroid, rogue black hole, insane nuclear submarine captain, god, the devil, or whoever, get on with it, this shithole planet has been waiting for a cleanup for millennia now.
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post Apr 15 2025, 05:51
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QUOTE(Drone-chan @ Apr 14 2025, 15:44) *

come on giant asteroid, rogue black hole, insane nuclear submarine captain, god, the devil, or whoever, get on with it, this shithole planet has been waiting for a cleanup for millennia now.


Its only like the worst 15 years out of the last 70 years. We are still in the top 1% of the past 4.5 billion years.


The problem is that it feels like heading towards the worst years of the last three generations.


Transitioning into a green new deal with mass migration and mass welfare spending by our lefty government in Australia has lead to the fastest decline in household disposable income since WW1 and WW2.

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Covid19 and the post covid economic management has cost 20 years of disposable income growth.


You don't have to pander to the middle class with evil 'popularism' which as we all know is 'Trumpian" if there is no middle class.

This post has been edited by EsotericSatire: Apr 15 2025, 05:53
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post Apr 15 2025, 05:58
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All that grinding for bunny ears. You can [amazon.com] buy bunny ears.

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post Apr 15 2025, 06:11
Post #19805
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QUOTE(Necromusume @ Apr 15 2025, 13:58) *

All that grinding for bunny ears. You can [amazon.com] buy bunny ears.

I wanted the Bulma bunny ears.

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post Apr 15 2025, 07:35
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[nypost.com] Trump will destroy a world economy that has us at the apex and only getting stronger

It was just about getting them to negotiate... or it really is about onshoring and replacing the income tax with tariffs. Flip, flop, flip, flop. Meanwhile American companies can't plan, economic growth will be slower, and many small businesses will go bankrupt.
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post Apr 15 2025, 10:07
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QUOTE(Necromusume @ Apr 14 2025, 19:35) *

It was just about getting them to negotiate... or it really is about onshoring and replacing the income tax with tariffs.


Its not exactly rocket science, he published several manifestos and books (probably ghost written to a large extent) on the topic.

TLDR:
-He believes in American exceptionalism as the basis for US wealth (it can be argued whether that is real or not)
-He believes weak/corrupt US administrations have lead to the massive capital account deficit and US budget deficit. (They did find like 500 billion in corrupt spending and cut $155 billion)
-He believes China especially has been a strong negotiator and has a strong leader but has taken advantage of the previously mentioned weak US administrations.


This post went over the word limit and therefore is retarded.


Fundamentally he believes in American exceptionalism as he is literally a 80-90s Democrat. He believes that the Kissinger policy which then transitioned to the Clinton policy were poorly negotiated and disadvantage US leading to structural capital account deficits and wealth being transferred overseas. He uses his Apprentice character as part of the MAD strategy where he has to convince people that he is crazy enough to do things otherwise there is no leverage to negotiate.

There are three main points:
1. This Kissinger era deals were made during the cold war and should be renegotiated to not disadvantage the US. So this includes most favored nation status, allowing China into international bodies without the scrutiny that was applied to Russia, allowing free technology transfers and evaluating/renegotiating the US role in funding NATO and European defense.

2. There was an opportunity to renegotiate in the 90s but Bill Clinton was weak and corrupt, the same with many DC insiders at the time who went on to enrich themselves in return for turning a legislative blind eye. Did I mention he hates the Clintons and what they represent?

3. The last point is that he looks at how China negotiates and sees how they strong arm nations around the world when negotiating and make one sided deals that benefit China in return for access to a mythical domestic market which does not exist. Increasingly since 2008 and accelerating after 2016, demand from China has been driven by government spending, central planning and subsidies. Repeatedly Trump has stated, if China is the biggest threat, then why does the US not make deals like China? For example, if countries want access the US market they will need to reduce the barriers and protections that have crept back in since the 90s. I personally don't agree with everything that is being asked for, but he has asked every single country to negotiate on a set of terms they definitely won't compromise on and a set that they can comprise.


Its not all coming from Trump obviously but he asked his advisors what are the deals China is making and how do we get in on those, this explains the 'random' policies he announces.
- China was making moves to take over Greenland and Panama for example, so Trump announced he would make deals. China was used to Biden and were caught off guard by America actually waking up. One of the terms he has asked countries for in order to reduce tariffs is to drop out of the belt and road initiative.
- China has been redirecting goods through Mexico, Canada, Australia, Japan, etc etc to avoid tariffs. So he went with the 'fuck em' tariff them all and force them to negotiate on this behavior strategy. Personally I did not know Australia was selling Chinese steel to the US for example. There are multiple islands that were ports of convenience to forward goods that were hit with 'random' tariffs' as well.
-China's opportunity to invade Taiwan to unify the country and obtain the divine right to rule is between 2025-2030 after that it will be difficult as they have entered into the Japan trap of massively over-leveraging, losing the population dividend and distorting their economy with government policy and currency manipulation.
-He is super biased against any Biden era policies or negotiations, he literally assumes they are dog turd and should be thrown out. Some might be good but he doesn't care. Anything Biden is turd.



Where he is probably wrong:
-He believes if the global markets are truly free then all US manufacturing and jobs will return because the US is great. They will probably need a degree of govt support and his advisors want to bring back strategic industries. Many companies and industries are sucking up to Trump and his ego and this is a major weakness of his that he can be manipulated this way. Whilst there may be objective measures of where diversification of supply chains are necessary, it is unclear which strategic industries should be onshored and many people have their hands out.

- Getting rid of income tax is a true instance of simplifying complex advice into a headline grabbing sound byte. Having a massive capital account deficit and massive government deficit, increase capital costs and inflation pressures, these are a 'hidden' tax on people in a country. Additionally long term allowing all wealth to be extracted means per capita GDP declines as well, which is effectively a tax on low and middle income earners. This is difficult to explain to voters, and probably Trump to be honest so it was pivoted to reducing income tax which does put his opposition into the wedge position of potentially having to oppose income tax reductions. Eliminating income tax is unrealistic but if they could reduce the deficit by a trillion and the CAD by 50% then it is realistic when Elon said they could drop income tax by 20% of what it currently is, eg 32% down to 26%.

- Most commentators believe he should transition away from his Apprentice / comedian character to even just being more like himself, however he is probably too butt hurt on certain topics to do that. 'At least he is generating content I can farm and mine forever" Asmongold

-Also if you go back to his 90s statements and manifesto he was primarily fixated on Japan in the 80s, and then China in the 90s. So its not like his a visionary on global trade. He believes if the US is losing, therefore someone must have a better deal.

This post has been edited by EsotericSatire: Apr 15 2025, 10:23
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post Apr 15 2025, 17:03
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QUOTE(EsotericSatire @ Apr 15 2025, 18:07) *

This post went over the word limit and therefore is retarded.

There's a word limit?

The rest of that post is just depressing as fuck.

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post Apr 16 2025, 00:54
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QUOTE(Mags_ @ Apr 15 2025, 05:03) *

There's a word limit?


Its like reverse twitter, you can write more than 250 words on this sub-forum but it probably means you are stupid. I tend to write a lot, which means I am stupid.


QUOTE(Mags_ @ Apr 15 2025, 05:03) *

The rest of that post is just depressing as fuck.



The depressing part is that Xi Jinping and Donald Trump are both very competent with catastrophic character flaws.


Trump is fueled by his giant ego and motivated by his butt hurt. He gets tunnel vision when it comes to topics where he is butt hurt. There are a large number of accounts from people who are surprised about how intelligent he is as long as the topic is not an area where his ego got hurt. Trump will listen to intelligent advisors, though he may try to pass that wisdom off as his own. The problem especially in his first term, were the DC insiders who stroked his ego in order to get into positions where they could cause damage.


Xi Jinping is also highly competent but because his family was betrayed as a kid he is obsessed with loyalty and consolidating power. He has 'removed from power' so many of his competent supporters and surrounded himself with many yes men. The problem is that even the yes men are paranoid about bringing news or opinions forward because they are not sure what the politically correct thing to say is to avoid being 'removed'. Xi destroyed multiple domestic industries because they were the power bases of his opposition. When his opponents were removed from power, they all accidentally fell out of windows. Then his supporters that were influential and competent fell out of windows. Now even if you recite 'Xi Jinping thought' at the wrong time, you might fall out of a window.

It is hilarious when the CCP talks about Marxist Nationalism now.... that's a bit like National Socialists.
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post Apr 17 2025, 07:18
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needed to upgrade firmware on a chinese USB device today, found a windows program to do it. Much to my pleasure, this program worked on Windows XP so I didn't have to go digging and hoping to find a Win7 install on some old loose hard drive I have sitting around.
Just used it in my XP laptop and it upgraded the firmware and i went back to using it under linux.
Happy chinese manufacturers still care about XP.

oops, wrong forum.
anyway, it's fine here, it's a thought

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post Apr 17 2025, 23:32
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Turn off the news, kangabunny.



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post Apr 19 2025, 00:16
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How can Autism rates have hit 1 in 12 children in some locations now? The data is showing the autism is getting worse too.

It was like 1 in 1000 in the 80/90s.

Was it teflon and the birth control pill? Maybe making everything out of plastic?
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post Apr 19 2025, 00:24
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QUOTE(EsotericSatire @ Apr 19 2025, 00:16) *

How can Autism rates have hit 1 in 12 children in some locations now? The data is showing the autism is getting worse too.

It was like 1 in 1000 in the 80/90s.

Was it teflon and the birth control pill? Maybe making everything out of plastic?


We're all plastic now. Fuck I hate plastic, its the stupidest thing, we had glass when I was a kid. like take drinks, what was wrong with glass for drinks? natural, cheap, and easily recyclable. But that doesn't make oil companies money from the left over byproduct of some of the most toxic elements in our society, so it had to go.

And we had plastic straws, which weren't a problem because the bottles were glass, instead of blaming straws for the plastic waste which is actually from fucking bottles and packaging and synthetic fabrics. but nobody talks about banning those.
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post Apr 19 2025, 01:06
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We used to define autism differently. In the 80s, autism was very rare because only what's called nonverbal autism these days qualified. IE, they never talked to anybody, ever, at all, and their inner world was a mystery. That's what the word meant to people. What is called autistic now was called being weird.

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post Apr 19 2025, 01:32
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QUOTE(Necromusume @ Apr 18 2025, 13:06) *

We used to define autism differently. In the 80s, autism was very rare because only what's called nonverbal autism these days qualified. IE, they never talked to anybody, ever, at all, and their inner world was a mystery. That's what the word meant to people. What is called autistic now was called being weird.



That is what I used to think as well. They expanded the DSM definition twice times in a row. Just now in the past 5-10 years the cases of severe autism is rising rapidly too.
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post Apr 19 2025, 08:19
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QUOTE(Necromusume @ Apr 18 2025, 19:06) *
We used to define autism differently. In the 80s, autism was very rare because only what's called nonverbal autism these days qualified. IE, they never talked to anybody, ever, at all, and their inner world was a mystery. That's what the word meant to people. What is called autistic now was called being weird.
this is literally it

one out of twelve people isn't nonverbal suddenly.
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post Apr 19 2025, 14:24
Post #19817
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QUOTE(Honeycat @ Apr 18 2025, 07:32) *

Turn off the news, kangabunny.

Already done.

QUOTE(Necromusume @ Apr 19 2025, 09:06) *

We used to define autism differently. In the 80s, autism was very rare because only what's called nonverbal autism these days qualified. IE, they never talked to anybody, ever, at all, and their inner world was a mystery. That's what the word meant to people. What is called autistic now was called being weird.

In corporate Australia you can't even use autistic as a descriptor anymore.

You have to say "on the spectrum"

I got in trouble at a volunteering gig I had last year because I described the way I do alot of things as autistic.

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post Apr 19 2025, 16:49
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In Weegland we have no therapists. The concept doesn’t exist, and we don't have homersimpsonality.

When a horrific monster blows up a child's family, it goes back to school or doesn’t leave its bedrooms. Those whiny maggots!

Just the previous week an earthquake happened, and a ghost killed the survivors except one child.
We expect that child to be a hikkikimori until the principal visits and tell the child to go back to school after moping enough.
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post Apr 20 2025, 02:22
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QUOTE(Mags_ @ Apr 19 2025, 02:24) *

Already done.
In corporate Australia you can't even use autistic as a descriptor anymore.

You have to say "on the spectrum"



Yeah I got called out for that recently, I am not even sure what we are supposed to say with neurodivergent folks being added to the LGBTQCIA+ spectrum now.


Also my state just stealth banned praying to / for / against LGBTQCIA+ folks. Its like the UK where even silent prayer can be a criminal offense. I can't possibly see how activists will use that to stir up drama.

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post Apr 20 2025, 13:25
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QUOTE(EsotericSatire @ Apr 20 2025, 02:22) *

I am not even sure what we are supposed to say with neurodivergent folks being added to the LGBTQCIA+ spectrum now.


but isn't that just saying lgbtqr+- is just a mental illness? progressives really do the horse shoe theory right don't they

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